I’ve been getting quite a few emails from people asking me if they should be buying the Treasuries because the market just reached the 38.2 level or something on their long term chart. Please, please do not trade based on where the market has reached on some sort of level. All the Fibonacci levels and [...]
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I remember when I was testing ideas in the financial markets that I always got stuck when trying to program my ideas onto a computer for back-testing or stress-testing purposes. Now I believe that part of our quest for profits has been taken care of by two folks in the investment business. The first are [...]
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There’s a small difference between people who are successful in the markets and those who aren’t. Now, of course, the basic qualities of being a hard working individual, being passionate are always necessary but I feel there is this one other difference. Most successful traders or investors I know are not predicting the markets in [...]
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Making a short and quick post about what I feel is the most overlooked trading indicator in the industry. You might not believe it but I feel momentum is the most overlooked indicator there is. Folks, what changes before price is momentum of price. So if want to get an advantage in this game, start [...]
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Making a really quick post about what I feel are the best futures trading brokers and top execution services: 1. TT with Velocity Futures. (You’re not paying $650 per month if you’re a brokerage customer with these guys). 2. Trade Navigator with Vision Financial Markets. (I highly recommend them for charting purposes). 3. Photon Trader. [...]
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Futures Trading, Stock Trading or any sort of trading for that matter is hard but like anything else in life, if you stick with something long enough you start to see things that you didn’t see before and you start enjoying the process a little bit more. The problem is that most people don’t stick [...]
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Someone more knowledgeable and more wise about making profitable investments once said that price is what you pay and value is what you get. Ask yourself. Are you good at finding value? Do you see value when you are in front of it? Do you have a nose for smelling value? If you want to [...]
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I am now offering anybody who is interested in trading the U.S T-bond futures market profitably a monthly membership whereby I will tell you exactly when to place a trade in your trading account. Keep in mind that I don’t offer a trade everyday. As a matter of fact not a whole lot of trades. [...]
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This might one of those secrets that is so out there in front of everyone’s eyes but still remains elusive to many. Do you know what the biggest secret to trading really is? The biggest secret is to follow your rules. By that I mean, not deviating the rules of your trading system just because [...]
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There’s a new guy in town and his name is Photon Trader. You need to check these guys out if you’re looking for a reliable platform that will not freeze up even when market quotes get extremely fast. Go to Google and type in FuturePath Trading. The first link showcases their photon trader platform. I [...]
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What is needed to become successful at this business? Is it better technology, a better system? I believe there are certain attributes that are absolutely necessary to become a successful commodity trader. One of the interesting things you realize about the markets is that more intelligence isn’t necessarily useful. Now, of course I don’t mean [...]
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The last trade where I recorded a video explaining readers when to go short is now $3000 in the money as of the settlement price for T-Bonds today. This trade was right out of my trading system that I use. We went short around 145-11 and today the market closed at 142-11. I wouldn’t necessarily [...]
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Happy New Year to all my blog readers across the world. May 2012 bring in more happiness, more wealth, more abundance and more of everything that is good into your life. If you don’t have resolutions made so far, please take this time to make them. Commit to them. Commit. That’s the most important part. [...]
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Wishing all the readers of my blog a Merry Christmas !! Hope all of you have a great time with your loved ones and family members. If you followed my last trade here in the bond market, you should be having enough money for those cool christmas gifts. I put it up for you to [...]
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Watch this video to view the latest Treasury Futures trade….Go short on Monday’s opening 12/19/2011. Click the bottom right icon in the corner to view in full screen.
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Today I’d like to recommend two trading platforms that form the basis of everything I do regarding my trading business. One platform is what I use for analyzing the T-Bond market. That platform is Trade Navigator from the guys over at Genesis Financial Technologies. In my opinion they offer the best platform for analysis for [...]
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I wanted to make a post today about what I consider to be the crux of this trading business. The crux of this business is to stay with the trend. Easier said than done. See, the problem is that too many people are hung up on making all the money in the world by tomorrow. They [...]
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This post is important but very short. Do you have all parts of a trading system together before you risk a red cent in the marketplace. Do you know what you are going to do at each stage of the trading cycle? In my opinion, if you don’t have the following parts down pat, you [...]
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This is a very important post for you to understand if you are to be successful in your trading career. Simple as it may seem, a lot of people have no understanding of probabilities or design trading systems that are not based on probabilities at all. Successful futures trading, stock trading, currency trading and pretty [...]
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I hope you guys are enjoying your Saturday. I sure am. A very important message here today. That there is more to life than trading. Don’t forget that. I know most do. People get so much engrossed in the trading business, that indicators become their best friends. It’s almost like seeing jewelry on their computer [...]
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If you go to battle everyday with bad tools, you are not going to win. What I mean by that is that if you go into trading the markets with a not so good computer you will pay for it in real money and the cost of that will be a lot more than what [...]
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Making a very quick post here. What I want to discuss today is a concept that I struggled for years to grasp. The fact that a trading system should be simple for it to be effective. Not that a complicated trading system doesn’t have it’s own place. Just that a simple one is much easier [...]
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If I could nail down one reason and one reason only on why people fail in the trading business, it would be this. They had a position size that was too big for their trading account. Trade size is the number one factor that makes people disappear. Another trading casualty so to speak. So what’s [...]
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Making a very quick post about mutual funds here. This blog is mostly about T Bond Futures but I’d like to mention a few things about mutual funds. I received some emails from people asking for them so wanted to alert you on a few of their nuances. First, there is absolutely nothing mutual about [...]
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Okay, so I feel that now is the time to exit the bonds. The closing price that I see is 140-24. Even though the trend is down, I still feel that I would like to book profits on this trade. We went short at 145-20. So we have about $5000 in profit on this one. [...]
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Should trading be systematic or discretionary? Is there a hybrid of the two? I would venture to state that in the beginning all traders should be systematic traders. Following a system is the way to go in the beginning. Newbies make a lot of mistakes, often time costly, that can be avoided by adopting systematic [...]
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In light of this website providing you information that actually does make a difference in your trading account, I have a piece of information that I’d like to explain very clearly to my blog readers. Most people have heard of Fibonacci numbers and their nuances. I’m here to tell you that they are nothing more [...]
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So the update on the Treasury Futures contract is that we will remain short. The trend is still down and so we are short. We did end up giving up a huge chunk of the profits back to the market. This is the reality of the trading business and there is no need for getting [...]
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I could rank this post right up there. I mean north. Trading Discipline. Consistency. The discipline to follow your system. To stick with something till the end. Not jump the ship when the going gets tough. It eventually does. No matter what trading system you buy or use of your own. The business of trading [...]
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We are now $8468.75 in the money on our position in the Treasury Bond Futures contract. We will remain short and ride more profits if need be. No need to cover up your profits already. The trend is down and we are short. This trade is live on this blog where we follow the treasury [...]
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Alright, this is going to be a very straight forward post about what trading is all about and what is trading made out to be. Thanks to the media of course. TRADING IS SIMPLE. There, I said it, I even put that in bold. Trading is all about reacting to market movements. It is purely [...]
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Just an update from our previous trade here on this blog in the bonds. We are still short and will remain short going into the coming trading week. We are in the money on our short position and will hold onto the trade as our profits continue to pile up. The trend of the market [...]
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I get asked a lot of newbie trading questions so what I’ve done is compile a list of newbie trading questions that I have heard over a period of time. Click on the FAQ link on the upper right hand side of my website and you will be able to see those. New people getting [...]
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People often ask me about the best platforms I have ever used for trading and analysis. Keeping the end user in mind I would today like to recommend two trading platforms. Trade Navigator over at www.genesisft.com is a great platform to have in your arsenal. Most of the heavy programming here is done behind the [...]
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An update here from my previous post about going short the US Treasury Bond Market. We are $6812.50 in the money in our position from our trade entry at 145-20. Read the post below this one where I mentioned about going short. Don’t take your profits just yet. I think this market should keep going [...]
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Here’s a signal for those of you following this blog. Sell the 30 year T-Bond futures contract tomorrow at the opening. This is as specific as it gets. Watch the market as it develops and watch how I keep on updating you about this market. Today’s closing was at 145-20. Sell the opening tomorrow. I [...]
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Today, I just wanted to give my beloved readers of this blog a quick answer on why I focus on just the US Treasury Bond market. One, this is one of the most liquid markets in the world. Cash as well as futures. You can move a huge amount of volume in this market (thousands [...]
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Posting a very quick update on my view of the bond market. Staying out this week. I will be giving you an update on this Friday. I think we will probably go short this Friday but I don’t want to jump ahead of myself. Let the market come to you. That is how you are [...]
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If you have a position in the bond market you need to get out of the 30 year on Monday. I am not sure how this market is reacting at the moment. Something looks fishy. We are taking a loss but that’s just the way in the world of trading. Gotta get out of the [...]
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Just writing a quick post here about our positions in the US Treasuries from previous week. We will remain short. Please be advised that we are trading the market from a weekly time frame, so we might remain short for a considerable time to come. In my opinion the market has become quite overbought. Can [...]
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I’m releasing another signal on the 30 Year Treasuries. Go short on the US T-Bonds on Monday. If you can get a better fill on Sunday, go short. So another signal is issued on this blog. Since the T-Notes trade similar to the Bonds, I was waiting for the market to move up more before [...]
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Just making a very quick post here. We’re short the 10 Year T-Notes market. I issued the signal at the beginning of the week. This will be a weekly signal, so I don’t know when we will take the chips off the table. Will see what to do as the market develops. I want that [...]
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I think it is time to go short on the 10 Year Notes. So, a sell signal on the notes is issued. For those of you reading this blog, you can watch this signal as it unfolds in real time. Sell 10 year notes on Monday’s opening.
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The idea about this post is to make sure that every person visiting this site keeps a long term perspective about their investments. Long term doesn’t mean you buy today and sell in years. Long term means you don’t indulge in make decisions every day, that you don’t indulge in a whole lot of day [...]
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I expect the market volatility to soar off the coming few months. Treasuries are now starting to see record daily ranges. $3000 daily ranges are the norm. For something like the treasuries it’s a lot. A trader’s paradise to be honest. The market went down 512 points last Friday and opened 250 points lower today [...]
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No bond signal for this week. Will wait till next week for some sort of an update. Staying out this week.
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Today is a historic day in the history of the Unites States. Definitely nothing to celebrate about. The S&P has downgraded US debt for the first time ever. The rating has now been moved to AA+. One notch down. It’s a historic day because this country had never defaulted on its debt. It hasn’t even [...]
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For those of you who have read a few posts on my blog, you probably realize that I advocate getting out of the market when it seems to be working a bit weirdly. Now what do I mean by that. I mean taking a loss when you have to and moving on to the next [...]
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